成本、收益与利润间的多变量回归分析
SUMMARY OUTPUT回归统计Multiple R0.99961R Square 0.99922Adjusted R Square0.999064标准误差 22.53011观测值 13方差分析df SS MS F Significance F回归分析 2 6501534 32507676404.116 2.88974E-16残差 105076.059507.6059总计 12 6506610Coefficients标准误差 t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%下限 95.0%上限 95.0%Intercept-3100.06691.3074-4.484340.001171 -4640.38525 -1559.73 -4640.39 -1559.73成本 0.394780.4536560.8702170.404587 -0.61602963 1.405589 -0.61603 1.405589收益 0.5933450.3251451.8248610.097996 -0.13112367 1.317813 -0.13112 1.317813RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT观测值 预测 利润 残差 标准残差 百分比排位 利润1 2311.3515.6488190.274653 3.846153846 23172 2508.40915.591470.758079 11.53846154 25243 2683.727-22.7271-1.10502 19.23076923 26614 2895.037-41.0365-1.99525 26.92307692 28545 3065.60612.393990.602613 34.61538462 30786 3271.1788.8218590.428931 42.30769231 32807 3447.877.1297430.346658 50 34558 3641.7744.2259350.205471 57.69230769 36469 3824.20630.794241.497258 65.38461538 385510 4014.33918.660810.907314 73.07692308 403311 4209.42-8.42028-0.40941 80.76923077 420112 4385.54-30.5402-1.48491 88.46153846 435513 4588.543-0.54275-0.02639 96.15384615 4588收 益 L i n e F i t P l o t￥ 1 0 , 50 0￥ 9 , 5 00￥ 8 , 5 00￥ 7 , 5 00￥ 6 , 5 00￥ 2 , 0 0 0￥ 2 , 5 0 0￥ 3 , 0 0 0￥ 3 , 5 0 0￥ 4 , 0 0 0￥ 4 , 5 0 0￥ 5 , 0 0 0收 益利润利 润预 测 利 润成 本 R e s i d u a l P l o t￥ 6 , 0 0 0￥ 5 , 0 0 0￥ 4 , 0 0 0￥ 3 , 0 0 0- 5 0- 4 0- 3 0- 2 0- 1 001 02 03 04 0成 本残差收 益 R e s i d u a l P l o t￥ 1 0 , 5 0 0￥ 9 , 5 0 0￥ 8 , 5 0 0￥ 7 , 5 0 0￥ 6 , 5 0 0- 5 0- 4 0- 3 0- 2 0- 1 001 02 03 04 0收 益残差成 本 L i n e F i t P l o t￥ 6 , 2 0 0￥ 5 , 2 0 0￥ 4 , 2 0 0￥ 3 , 2 0 0￥ 2 , 0 0 0￥ 2 , 5 0 0￥ 3 , 0 0 0￥ 3 , 5 0 0￥ 4 , 0 0 0￥ 4 , 5 0 0￥ 5 , 0 0 0成 本利润利 润预 测 利 润N o r m a l P r o b a b i l i t y P l o t1 0 08 06 04 02 002 0 0 03 0 0 04 0 0 05 0 0 0S a m p l e P e r c e n t i l e利润上限 95.0%成本 收益 利润￥3,400 ￥6,858 ￥2,317￥3,567 ￥7,079 ￥2,524￥3,712 ￥7,278 ￥2,661￥3,864 ￥7,533 ￥2,854￥4,012 ￥7,722 ￥3,078￥4,166 ￥7,966 ￥3,280￥4,325 ￥8,158 ￥3,455￥4,478 ￥8,383 ￥3,646￥4,632 ￥8,588 ￥3,855￥4,801 ￥8,796 ￥4,033￥4,966 ￥9,015 ￥4,201￥5,098 ￥9,224 ￥4,355￥5,250 ￥9,465 ￥4,588
